Sonntag, 18. Januar 2009

Week Ahead: Inauguration, Earnings

The historic inauguration of Barack Obama as the 44th President of the United States will dominate news coverage next week, but investors will be focusing a wary eye on earnings reports.

Stock markets are closed on Monday for the celebration of Martin Luther King Jr.’s birthday, and most of America will be watching Obama’s swearing-in on Tuesday.

Then the earnings reports start.

Fully 25% of the companies that comprise the Dow Jones Industrial Average and 10% of those in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will announce their quarterly results next week.

Technology will be a dominant theme, with some of the biggest names in the sector reporting.

Apple (AAPL) reports on Wednesday and the health of founder and Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs will probably garner more attention than profits. Analysts are predicting a slightly higher revenues, but lower earnings.

Other tech giants reporting are IBM (IBM) on Tuesday, and Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOG) on Thursday.

Economic bellwether General Electric (GE) reports on Friday and analysts are predicting bad news. A Barclays analyst has speculated that GE may report earnings at the low end of already low projections.

In the health care sector, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), which reports Tuesday, is expected to post higher earnings despite delays on drug approvals last quarter and growing generic competition to one of its blockbuster medications.

Abbott Laboratories (ABT), in the news this week for its acquisition of Advanced Medical Optics (EYE) for $1.36 billion, reports on Wednesday. Higher profits are expected.

Several railroad companies, also seen as economic bellwethers, will report next week, as well. CSX Corp. (CSX) reports Tuesday, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) on Wednesday, and Union Pacific (UNP) on Thursday.

Airlines reporting are AMR Corp. (AMR), parent of American Airlines, and UAL Corp. (UAUA), parent of United, both on Wednesday, and Southwest Airlines (LUV) on Thursday.

Economic reports are slim, but housing will take center stage as the National Association of Home Builders releases its January builder sentiment index on Wednesday, and the government reports on December housing starts on Thursday.

The data are expected to be ugly.


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